How the "gut feeling" approach to pricing is killing your growth potential (and what to do about it)
Most CEOs would never let their engineering team build products based on "gut feeling." They wouldn't let their marketing team launch campaigns without data. Yet when it comes to pricing, the single most important lever for profitability, they're making decisions like artisans in a digital world.
The artisanal pricing problem
After working with dozens of companies across Europe and North America, I've noticed a disturbing pattern. When I ask founders how they set their prices, the conversation usually goes like this:
"Well, we looked at what competitors were charging..." "We calculated our costs and added a margin..." "It felt right for our market..."
This artisanal approach might work when you're a solo founder wearing every hat. But it becomes a critical bottleneck the moment you want to scale. Here's why:
You can't onboard a sales team to your gut
Imagine trying to train a new sales hire: "So when they ask about pricing, just... feel it out. You'll know when it's right."
This isn't just ineffective, it's impossible. Your pricing knowledge lives in your head, built from hundreds of micro-decisions and market conversations. It can't be downloaded, shared, or refined.
The hidden cost of pricing uncertainty
When your team lacks confidence in your pricing strategy, several things happen:
Sales cycles lengthen as reps hesitate on price discussions
Discount requests increase because there's no clear justification system
Product roadmap decisions become arbitrary without pricing impact data
Revenue forecasting becomes guesswork
What scientific pricing actually looks like
Scientific pricing isn't about complex spreadsheets or academic theories. It's about creating systematic, repeatable processes that anyone on your team can understand and execute.
1. Value Metric Clarity
Instead of pricing based on features or costs, scientific pricing starts with understanding what customers actually value. Take Dashlane's password manager: they initially priced by number of passwords stored. Through behavioral research, we discovered customers actually valued device synchronization, not password storage.
The result? A 13M€ revenue increase by restructuring their free tier around the real value metric.
2. Systematic Customer Research
Artisanal pricers ask: "What would you pay for this?" Scientific pricers ask: "What problem does this solve, and how do you currently handle it?"
The difference is profound. The first question gets you speculation. The second gets you behavioral data you can act on.
3. Pricing Architecture Design
Your pricing page isn't just a list of features and prices, it's a decision-making tool. Scientific pricing designs the entire customer journey from problem recognition to purchase decision.
This means considering:
• How customers mentally model your product
• What triggers their buying decision
• How they justify the purchase internally
• What causes them to churn or upgrade
The Scaling Imperative
Here's the uncomfortable truth: artisanal pricing is a luxury you can't afford once you want to grow.
Every successful company eventually faces this moment. You need to hire salespeople, expand to new markets, or raise prices with existing customers. Suddenly, "because it feels right" isn't good enough.
The Sales Team Test: Can a new sales hire explain your pricing to a prospect without you in the room? If not, you have an artisanal pricing problem.
The Founder Dependency Test: If pricing decisions require your personal involvement, you've created a bottleneck that will limit your company's growth potential.
Making the Transition
Moving from artisanal to scientific pricing doesn't mean losing the intuition that got you here. It means systematizing that intuition so others can apply it.
Start with documentation: Write down your current pricing logic, even if it feels obvious. What factors influence your decisions? Why do certain customers pay more?
Test your assumptions: That "gut feeling" about price sensitivity? Turn it into a hypothesis you can validate with real customer behavior.
Create decision frameworks: Build repeatable processes for common pricing decisions (new features, market expansion, competitive responses, enterprise deals).
Measure what matters: Track metrics that connect pricing decisions to business outcomes, not just vanity metrics like conversion rates.
The Competitive Advantage
Companies that make this transition early gain a significant advantage. While competitors are still debating prices in founder meetings, you're systematically optimizing based on customer behavior data.
Your sales team becomes more confident and effective. Your product decisions become more strategic. Your revenue becomes more predictable.
Most importantly, you free yourself from being the pricing bottleneck in your own company's growth.
The transition from artisanal to scientific pricing isn't just about better numbers: it's about building a scalable business. The question isn't whether you'll eventually need to make this change, but whether you'll do it proactively or be forced into it by growth constraints.
Ready to systematize your pricing approach? The first step is understanding where you currently stand, and what's possible when pricing becomes a strategic advantage rather than a founder dependency.